Following the request of some media of the vision of our interprofessional following the press release issued on October 17, 2023 by COAG, with the title "Chicken meat would triple its price to the consumer with the revision of animal welfare regulations proposed by the EU"(link), from Avianza we want to join this concern, which we share.
Our Secretary General, Jordi Montfort, analyzes in these statements the impact on the poultry meat production sector in Spain of a possible implementation of the EFSA recommendations, which is under evaluation by the European Commission.
Question: What is the status of the negotiation with the European Commission on this issue?
The deadlines of the European Commission are very clear. Right now they are evaluating an animal welfare regulation with an impact analysis in which the sectors involved have not been consulted. In other words, there has been neither a negotiation table nor a discussion table in which the producer or the producing countries have been able to raise their voice and be heard.
When it comes to animal welfare, we, the producers, are the first ones interested in our animals being well all the time. If an animal is not healthy, if an animal does not have the water, drink or feed it requires, if it does not have the space it requires or the conditions in which it is housed are not adequate, the animal simply does not produce, that is to say, it is not sustainable production. Therefore, the points described in this regulation lack, from our point of view, a very, very great technical rigor in the field.
They do not in any way reflect all the guarantees that we have in terms of animal welfare today, since here in Spain many of the animal welfare issues analyzed are complied with above and beyond the current regulations, and they are also certified. Therefore, I believe that the producer had a lot to say. He has not been taken into account.
In addition, in order to conform this regulation, what has been done is a documentary review of some scientific articles that, from our point of view, are biased, since they are not made with a scientific technical rigor as the one we are accustomed to use to guarantee the welfare of animals.
Question: What would the implementation of these recommendations by the European Commission mean from a socioeconomic or sustainability point of view? Would it have any positive, neutral or negative impact?
The biggest impact we would see is a reduction of almost 30% of the usable area we have today in farms. What does this mean? Well, of the almost 5,000 farms available, we would only have 3,592 usable farms left. Therefore, in order to compensate and to be able to supply the chicken market that is consumed today, we would have to build around 73% more houses. This would mean an investment of 1,800 million euros, which nobody is going to contribute because it will no longer be a profitable business, they would not be economically sustainable.
This also implies that there will be less population in rural areas, which is one of the issues we talk about most in Spain. There will no longer be farmers, as they will not be able to produce because it will not be profitable for them. They will leave. We have an average age among farmers of almost 50 years, all of them linked to the rural environment in Spain, so the next generations would be directly eliminated. Both because of the regulations to be complied with or all the associated bureaucracy, they will no longer be willing to take care of a poultry, chicken or turkey farm.
We are talking about an increase in costs, undoubtedly, but also about throwing away all the advances in genetic changes that have allowed us to be much more productive today and to guarantee food safety. We are throwing away 50 years of progress in selection after selection in each of the generations. Going backwards will lead us to keep animals on farms longer, up to 50% longer than the time required today to bring a chicken with a carcass weight of 2.5 kg to the market.
This means that the farmer will lose one cycle per year and that, in addition, the costs for feed, water, electricity, gas and emissions will increase, which is neither sustainable nor environmentally responsible.
QUESTION: Speaking about that increase, what could be the effect on the price of poultry meat in the market for consumers?
We estimate that although the price of the carcass, as Jaume Bernis of COAG mentioned in his press release, would triple, in the most consumed product in Spain, which is the breast, we could reach 15 € or 20 € per kilo (in the broiler species, which is the most consumed).
For most Spaniards, this increase would mean that chicken would become a luxury product for families, who would lose the possibility of accessing a very high quality protein, essential for the development of children, for example.
This would cause the 30% of the population at risk of poverty, according to the OECD, to reduce that minimum of 2 times per week in which they have access on average to a highly digestible protein, such as animal protein, at least in the case of poultry meat.